Economic analysis of 2023/24 budget

The government gets one star for allowing the 2022/23 budget balance to improve to a cash surplus (small fiscal deficit), but this budget includes yet more tax and spending and a disappointing lack of serious reform, and the 2023/24 deficit was unnecessary and inappropriate.

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Defending the UK tax cuts

The UK has a new government, and one of their first steps has been to reverse some planned tax increases and make other tax cuts. Great news for British taxpayers and the broader UK economy, but it has sparked controversy as the usual crowd of big-government apologists condemn any policy that reduces the power of politicians.

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John HumphreysComment
Interest rates & recession

Fundamentally, the issues of inflation and recession must be addressed with different types of policy. Inflation can only be addressed through more responsible macroeconomic policy, while sustainable economic prosperity can only be achieved through microeconomic reform that boosts productivity.

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John HumphreysComment
Declining real wages

One of the defining features of the economy over the last year has been the decline in real wages. Nominal wages have increased by 2.6%, but consumer prices have increased by 6.1%. The sad reality is that many working Australians are getting poorer.

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John Humphreys Comment
Reject monetary populism

Ordinary Australians are struggling under the dual pressures of high inflation and rising interest rates. There’s no simple solution, though there are some commentators out there offering simplistic and dangerous suggestions that will make the problem worse.

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John HumphreysComment
Infrastructure voucher

There is no silver bullet when it comes to housing availability and affordability, but one part of the puzzle is to improve the incentives faced by local councils so that they get the benefits or costs associated with their planning and development policies.

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John HumphreysComment